WEBVTT
Kind: captions
Language: en

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The battle for Christmas number one is a British
music tradition.

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To be at the top of the charts on Christmas Day
is to have a place in history.

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Sometimes, serious pop acts have managed it:

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the Spice Girls did it three times in a row.

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Sometimes, it was more of a
mid-90s fever dream.

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♪ “Blobby, oh Mr Blobby…” ♪

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Some of the importance of the
Christmas Number One

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comes from the UK music industry’s official
charts,

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which are based purely on music sales,
not on airplay.

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Every pop music radio station in Britain could
play a track every hour, on the hour…

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and it wouldn’t make a bit of difference
if no one walked into a music shop,

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opened their wallets, and actually bought
the physical single –

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or, later, paid to download a digital file.

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That doesn’t really work these days.

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If you go back to 1952, when the charts were
first launched,

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a guy called Percy Dickens basically just
used to get on the phone

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and call up 20 of his mates who worked in
record shops

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and just ask them, what records were popular
that particular week?

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And it was as basic as that.

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So for most of the history of the charts,

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what we've done is we've counted sales,

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because that's the way that consumers - music
fans -

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have been able to access their music.

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Every year, hundreds of music acts release
novelty Christmas singles,

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hoping to be the one that makes it through
the dreck

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and gets to the top of the charts. And almost
all of them fail,

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although it’s pretty heartwarming when they
do succeed…

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because it usually means that the winner of
the X Factor

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has been beaten down into second place,

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and people seem to enjoy it when Simon Cowell
doesn’t win.

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But calculating the numbers now is trickier
than it used to be.

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For the last 2½ years, we've been not just
counting sales, but also adding streams in

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there as well.

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We convert the streams to sales by dividing
the streams by 100,

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and then we put it all together.

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The 100 is essentially an estimate of the
value of a stream versus the value of a download.

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We're actually changing that from the beginning
of 2017, to 150,

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because what we're seeing is a massive shift

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in terms of the number of streams that are
being generated

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and the number of sales that are being made
as well.

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Spotify, and Apple Music. Deezer, and Tidal.

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Amazon have both Amazon Prime Music and Amazon
Unlimited. We count those as well.

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There are other, smaller services on top of
that.

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But pretty much any audio streaming service
you'll be using, we count.

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You’ll notice something missing from that
list of streaming services:

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the official UK chart doesn’t count YouTube
views.

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In theory, YouTube could track music use:

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but it can’t tell whether you’re listening
to a song

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because you’re there to listen to music…

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or just because someone’s decided to soundtrack
their multi-million-view video

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with Bing Crosby’s White Christmas.

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We've never counted video, and consumption
of video, and we're not doing so now.

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That said, obviously we're always talking
about it,

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it's a big debate within the industry, about
whether it should or it shouldn't count.

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That may change at some point in the future,
but not quite for now.

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I don’t know who’s going to be Christmas
number one this year.

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And neither do the folks here, at the official
UK charts company,

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at least as I record this,

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although I suspect probably they’ve got
a pretty good idea by now.

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At 5:40pm on December 23rd,

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BBC Radio 1 will make the announcement,

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and – at least for this year –

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someone will still be entering the history
books.

